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[闲谈] 20120904 YYB日间灌水

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欧元昨晚冲高回落,利空。
不畏浮云遮望眼!
蒙古股指Mongolia Stock Exchange Top 20 Index (MSETOP)
跌破了盘整了很长时间的区间,创下新低,说明天朝经济很糟糕了。这对全球经济和股市都是一个预警和利空。
不畏浮云遮望眼!
沙发。。。。
棋王 发表于 2012-9-4 09:09



    欢迎棋王老大一起来灌水,大家群策群力一起探讨问题。
DAX昨晚也冲高回落,先是站上了7000点,目前又回到7000点之下。
不畏浮云遮望眼!
说实在话,今天的走势很关键,指示接下来的方向。

从今天的开盘,目前看,牛牛不占上风。
不畏浮云遮望眼!
According to our analytics team, U.S. stocks are expected to continue to move mainly sideways, but on increased trading volume as ST indicators continue to move sideways in their continuing effort to find footing from which to rally this week, likely if the EU central bank acts to ease rising interest rates in Spain and Italy.
不畏浮云遮望眼!
Shallow rallies last month attended the promise of stimulative moves from the world’s central banks, with hopes lifted at month’s start by ECB President Draghi’s pledge to do whatever it takes to save the euro, and Fed policy meeting minutes suggesting members largely inclined to believe the central bank may need, once again, to step up to the plate of aggressive monetary measures. China’s slowing growth has kept investors guessing, with Beijing steadfast in maintaining a more conservative approach in order to prevent another speculative housing bubble. Last week’s Jackson Hole speech showed Chairman Bernanke eager to protect a record of administering unconventional tools in his efforts to maintain economic growth in the US, making it clear that additional tools remain at the bank’s disposal and may be used in the futures should signs signal the economy faltering, and/or to bolster hiring, which he noted to be a “grave concern.” Mr. Draghi’s recent comments suggest Thursday’s bond-buying program is likely to focus on short-dated government debt, said within the scope of the ECB mandate. US economic reports this holiday-shortened week may tweak investors’ expectations for any QE3 announcement at the Fed’s September policy meeting, giving rise to more bad-news-is-good-news market reactions.
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Trading is expected to pick up this week, as well, with summer holidays ending and school openings returning many to their trading desks. Stock prices may remain somewhat range bound in front of market-movers at week’s end, with the ECB policy decision due for Thursday, to be followed by President Draghi’s bond-buying outline, and the US monthly nonfarm payroll release set for pre-open disclosure on Friday. Upcoming posts and media reports throughout the week may tilt sentiment as well, as they hint at ECB plans and give further guidance that the Fed may utilize when considering the need for further monetary action.
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Asian markets retreated from Monday’s gains, with equities broadly lower after Beijing failed to take further action to help stimulate its softening economic growth, despite evidence of slowing domestic demand and a falloff in exports. China’s official manufacturing PMI report showed a greater-than-expected slump to 49.2 in August, a nine-month low and below the 50 level that signals contraction. Economists anticipated the number would match July’s 50.1 print. The HSBC manufacturing post marked a similar trend among small and medium-sized Chinese firms, posting at 47.6 from July’s 49.3.
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The Shanghai Composite lost 0.8% today, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 0.7%. Japan’s Nikkei slid 0.1% and South Korea’s Kospi dropped 0.3%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 closed 0.6% lower after the Reserve Bank, as anticipated, left interest rates unchanged at 3.5%, and provided no hints of further easing intentions.
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European bourses are trading higher this morning, despite Moody’s move to lower the eurozone’s credit outlook to negative on Monday, warning the region could lose its Aaa rating. The action was viewed as providing further pressure on the ECB to make good on its early-August pledge to protect the euro and lower funding costs among the troubled peripheral nations, Italy and Spain. The eurozone data continues to show economies there struggling, with recessionary times not far ahead. Manufacturing contracted for the 13th straight month in August, as Markit’s PMI number for the eurozone was revised lower to 45.1 from an initial print at 45.3, slightly improved from July’s 37-month low of 44.
不畏浮云遮望眼!
Data throughout the week will be examined through the kaleidoscope of Fed-fracturing, culminating, of course, with the employment data set for Friday reporting. Weeklong posts on August employment and weekly jobless filings are expected to shift investor sentiment. The Thursday reports on ADP employment change, a precursor of Friday’s NFP, are forecast at 140K versus 163K in July. Challenger Job cuts post also is due out Thursday. The weekly jobless claims number may show a 4K-drop to 370K from 374K. Friday’s showing is estimated at a130K-headline number, down from 163K previous; private payrolls are estimated at 145K, slipping from 172K in July. August’s unemployment rate is widely expected to remain unchanged at 8.3%.
不畏浮云遮望眼!
现在稳步下破SPX1400!
不畏浮云遮望眼!
不畏浮云遮望眼!
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