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[技术分析] Perfect Wave - 2012-1/2 (I)

I am starting a new thread for 2012's first half year (Jan - Jun), including EUR, SP, Gold, and JPY.  My previous wave counts can be found from:
http://www.yayabay.com/forum/thread-165734-1-1.html

Elliott Wave reference can be found from:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle

My labeling for wave degrees in different time frames:
Monthly - [[[I]]], [[[II]]], [[[III]]], [[[IV]]], [[[V]]], [[[A]]], [[[B]]], [[[C]]]
Monthly - [[I]], [[II]], [[III]], [[IV]], [[V]], [[A]], [[B]], [[C]]
Weekly - [I], [II], [III], [IV], [V], [A], [B], [C]
Weekly - I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C
Daily - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c
Daily - _1, _2, _3, _4, _5, _a, _b, _c
Hourly - __1, __2, __3, __4, __5, __a, __b, __c

My labeling for wave formation in a segment = Wave Name + Wave Formation
For example, [A3] = 3 segments in a wave [A]
For example, [A3][B3][C5] = 3-3-5 formation for waves [A][B][C]

My labeling for zigzag is the combination of R.N. Elliott's classical labeling and my wave formation labeling.  DO NOT USE R.P.'s W-X-Y(-X-Z) labeling because it creates confusion and lacks the flexibility of changing wave counts.

I am getting lazy on updating the counts because I don't know how many people are following.  I might stop writing this at anytime.  If you are an audience of my threads, please PM me to let me know so that I won't forget to keep you updated if I stop writing.
01/01/2012 Monthly Charts

Comments are welcome!







Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠
最大能跌到950? 有人说1100啊
江南有丹桔,经冬犹绿林。 岂伊地气暖,自有岁寒心。 可以荐佳客,奈何阻重深。 运命唯所遇,循环不可寻。 徒言树桃李,此木岂无阴。
最大能跌到950? 有人说1100啊
not4weak 发表于 2012-1-1 14:45


真的呀!?  1100 和 950 不是意義上都差不多嗎?
I just noticed that I had a typo in gold's month chart.

The final target of gold's super bull market could be $1,960.  The extension wave [[[V]]].[[IX]] should be labelled as [[[V]]].[[E]].[IX].
Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠
雪骑元旦就开始乘风破浪的
人要养成两种习惯:

                 一是帮助别人
                 二是至少不要造成损伤
去950的红线一看就知道不可能。。。因为TLT还在120徘徊。。。
如果SP500在两个月内从1300跌到950,不会还有人认为TLT也跌吧?
那样的话TLT直冲150+,伯南克和O8估计都焦头烂额了。。。还不搞QE3?
在失业率下降,制造业指数回升,房屋销售数据日益好转的今天,还在梦想1300掉到950的急跌,建议楼主去希腊把总理绑架了,强迫他宣布退出欧盟也许还有点儿可能。。。
牛牛也要大声叫
要是主席再画几个蜘蛛网,把SP500画到580去该多好。。。
牛牛也要大声叫
雪骑元旦就开始乘风破浪的
dvork 发表于 2012-1-1 15:25


偶是很鬱悶
沒好雪可滑
去太浩湖的機票又不能退(要重罰)
只有祈禱盼望暴風雪在二月前能來
去950的红线一看就知道不可能。。。因为TLT还在120徘徊。。。
如果SP500在两个月内从1300跌到950,不会还有 ...
seagal 发表于 2012-1-1 17:00


海娃 - 偶也知道2個月內從1300到950不太可能 偶新年開盤後還要繼續做多頭哩 你沒看紫線有個小凸凸 偶做完那個小凸凸後才做空頭 950目標是一路到年底 (全都是瞎矇胡扯的)
怎么也得等tlt跌到95以下再说。。。
牛牛也要大声叫
怎么也得等tlt跌到95以下再说。。。
seagal 发表于 2012-1-1 18:26


海娃 - 偶不trade TLT所以偶不知如何猜TLT 但偶知道 偶沒說過SP會在2個月內從1300急殺到950 大概是你看錯或聽錯了吧  
回复 9# snowrider


    过几天我上山帮你看看,目前说是只有人造雪
我们一打人是下定决心要用力滑雪,租了三天的小木屋
snowboarding的人可能比较可怜,屁股做下去都是硬冰
01/01/2012 SP Monthly Chart Again

An alternative count:

[[[A]]].[[C]] becomes [[[[IV]]]]
[[[B]]] becomes [[[[V]]]]
[[[C]]].[[C]] becomes [[[A]]]
[[[D]]].[[C]] becomes [[[B]]]
If this is the scenario, we are in [[[C]]] now, and it could go to 550-650 when it finishes.


Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠
Waves [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]] are not 3-3-5.  [[[A]]] is definitely a 3.  [[[C]]] is highly possible a 3 too.  [[[B]]] could be a 3 or a 5 depending on how we see it.


[[[D]]] and [[[E]]] are part of [[[[IV]]]], where the assumption is that they are in a wave-4's abcde triangle.  (See above chart.)

The purple line has the assumption that [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]]-[[[D]]] have completed, and now we are in [[[E]]] to form [[[[IV]]]].  An alternative count is that [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]] has completed the [[[[IV]]]], and we are in the early stage of [[[[V]]]].
Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠
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