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今天1850-1865, 1860大概像西班牙大门,随便就破了。
oldhorse 发表于 2014-6-19 08:59


1860 seems a small battle point now.
the more days we are hanging out here, the higher probability the market is higher.
1900-2000 is still a stone throw.
tqqq is better than tna today
apple is under pressure to break down 90, which is not good for nasdaq and sp500, dow on the other hand may challenge 17000 this week.
Any prediction for tomorrow or Thursday?
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-6-24 20:27 编辑

today's move caught me off guard too, but the reasons behind this are the following:

1)sp500 hit resistance, technically speaking, 1970 is the short term resistance, this is black and white; nothing to worry about it. just need more days to consolidate in this area;

2)news wise, as you can see in mooncakes' blog, a fed member called flosser spoke bad mouth about raising the rate and market responded immediately. which I didn't expect as he is one man show anyways.

the market didn't move much yesterday and today's move somehow to me is like to position itself before gdp release which is a normal sign.

however, today's candle does form an engulfing pattern which is short term bearish.
I did buy some tza to hedge possible down to 1940 and 1930.

on the other hand, I expect gdp is up and july still may see 2000.
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回复 111# oldhorse

Thanks! I am thinking of buying more tomorrow if it is further down south
Thanks!
gdp is a disaster.
the market may test 1940 first and then 1930.
I bet 1930 holds today, if not, we may see 1900 this week.
watch 1925-1930,see if it bounces.
thanks!
the market is amazingly hanging on here.
小强不死
~心宽灵深爱永远~
as old saying goes:
a disaster is absolutely terrific!
hahaha
nasdaq formed an engulfing candle today and it also closed over march high.
a very bullish sign technically, maybe an entry for tqqq play tomorrow.

ironically,lower gdp served as a catalyst to push stocks higer.
the best is still following the bullish trend with caution in mind that the market may go down 1-2% without notice.

keep stops tight and use tza as hedge.
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