oldhorse

周末再次看了一遍图，认真计算一遍，结论是SPX/RUT大顶在2000/1300之上才合理，1960/1250其实太保守了。
现 ...
ychen222 发表于 2014-4-26 20:19

    问题是先到哪个？
先低后高还是县高后低

祥云

回复 88# ychen222
谢谢！

ychen222

问题是先到哪个？
先低后高还是县高后低
oldhorse 发表于 2014-4-26 23:49

I think"先低后高"(i.e. current correction/pullback is for future big rally).

I support Gary's recent idea about stocks.
http://www.smartmoneytracker.blogspot.com/

oldhorse

I think"先低后高"(i.e. current correction/pullback is for future big rally).

I support Gary's ...
ychen222 发表于 2014-4-27 10:14

嗯，如果继续牛市， 一定要先向下，这个我也同意。
金子结束熊市，我也这么看

ychen222

本来猜的是190X回调187X，万一从1884就开始调，回调目标就变成185X，止损放1849（1814-1884中点）下。
ychen222 发表于 2014-4-24 19:41

Today bears’ failure at SPX/RUT 1850/1102 might start the 2000/1300 journey.

I am holding some longs with stop at SPX 1849.

nobo

祥云

回复 93# ychen222
Thank you!

ychen222

SPX has been within 1820-1880 for 4 months, with  only a couple of times breaking out/down. To fully release this channel energy, either up to 2000 or down to 1700.

Today I dumped my longs, and just wait for a clear winner.
Bulls need to break 1900, while  bears need to  breaking 1849.

oldhorse

Today bears’ failure at SPX/RUT 1850/1102 might start the 2000/1300 journey.

I am holding so ...
ychen222 发表于 2014-4-28 15:54

    it‘s the best move now.
I lost clues where this market can go.
I bet the market is going down,, but the market might go up or sideways very long before going down.

I will insist on shorting for a while to see if I can see the light at the end of the tunnel, otherwise, I will surrender and get back in cash.

aimei

回复 96# ychen222

nobo

it‘s the best move now.
I lost clues where this market can go.
I bet the market is goin ...
oldhorse 发表于 2014-4-29 22:21

老马还在挺？

ychen222

当前没有新想法，重复一下已经说过的看法：
（1）SPX/RUT的大顶在2000/1300点以上，看好今年就出大顶。
（2）大顶过后，从明年开始出熊市，SPX/RUT要跌到1200/750附近，最后完成2000-2015年这15年的大熊市。
（3）近期大盘属于回调，如何结束还不明朗，SPX/RUT回调到1750/1050应该是极限。

ychen222

近期RUT非常弱，而大股强。
2013年整体上RUT/NASDAQ走势强而INDU/SPX走势弱，所以现在RUT/NASDAQ回调大，也算让几大指数同步起来吧。

注意到RUT日图里BB下轨在1097，周图里BB下轨在1096，周图MA（50）在1096。
RUT的跌势能否止于此值得关注。

bigt999

祥云

Thanks！