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[放炮] Strangle Option:Buy TZA Jan 19 2013 both 13 Put and 15 call

本帖最后由 sunning 于 2013-1-3 21:05 编辑

发表于 2012-12-26

Buy TZA Jan 19 2013 both 13 Put and 15 call
(TZA PPS at 14 right now)

Profit target: double within two weeks
本帖最后由 aimei 于 2013-1-9 23:29 编辑

TZA Jan 19 2013 15 call $0.01
TZA Jan 19 2013 13 call $0.08

TZA Jan 19 2013  13 Put $0.98
左边便宜啊,SPY的熬破心这几天多便宜啊,圣诞后新年那两天,比现在贵不是一点两点的.
波动少了就全死光了,波动大的熬破心也贵,赚钱难啊难于上青天.
Elephant 发表于 2013-1-8 23:28



    现在你知道,玩这个为什么总是要在左边下单的原因了吧。。。
波动少了就全死光了,波动大的熬破心也贵,赚钱难啊难于上青天.
ding
~心宽灵深爱永远~
Buy Straddle Option Strategy(cited from internet)

When volatility is low and you are expecting a large break- out move, but you aren't sure which way it will break out, you might consider buying a straddle. This strategy involves buying a call option and a put option on the same asset at the same strike price and expiration date. This gives you limited risk and unlimited profit potential with a major move in either direction.

With this strategy, your potential loss is limited to the premium you paid for the call and the put and the commissions.

Technical indications that we look for when we buy a straddle are a tight trading range in a triangle pattern. This is frequently followed by an explosive move near the tip of the triangle, but it is not always apparent ahead of time which direction it will move. Many traders watch for this pattern and jump on the bandwagon when it makes its move. If you are in position with both a put and a call, you will get a quick reward with one of the positions and you can liquidate the other. Then ride the trend, but don't get too greedy. Time decay works against you in this position.

When we buy a Straddle, the put and call that we purchase are normally at-the-money or close to it. We look for the triangle pattern with a tightening trading range, and initiate the position near the tip of the triangle, so that it is in place before the break-out. This is important because the options will be cheaper to buy before the break-out because volatility is low due to the tight trading range pattern. Since you are buying both a put and a call, you want to minimize the cost of the options. When the break-out occurs, volatility will spike up, driving up the price of the options. We generally allow three or more months before expiration, to provide enough time for the market to make its move, but we just stay in long enough to reach our target, because decay is working against us.

It is also important to cover risks and caveats of this strategy.

The risk of this position is limited and known. The cost of this position tends to be higher because you are buying both a put and a call, but by careful positioning as described above, you can minimize this cost. Remember that the commission you pay for this position will be higher because you are initiating two related option transactions. If the asset stays in the tight trading range and doesn't break-out sufficiently during the term of your position, you will lose money. Decay is working against you with this position, but that is ameliorated if you initiate the position close to, but before the break-out, and then quickly liquidate the option on the wrong side of the break-out.

It is important to analyze your expectations for the underlying asset and for the market before selecting your strategy.
Buy Strangle Option Strategy (cited from internet)

When volatility is low and you are expecting a large break- out move, but you aren't sure which way it will break out, you might consider buying a strangle. This strategy involves buying an out-of-the-money call option and an out-of-the-money put option on the same asset with the same expiration date and different strike prices. This gives you limited risk and unlimited profit potential with a major move in either direction.

With this strategy, your potential loss is limited to the premium you paid for the call and the put and the commissions.

Technical indications that we look for when we buy a strangle are a tight trading range in a triangle pattern. This is frequently followed by an explosive move near the tip of the triangle, but it is not always apparent ahead of time which direction it will move. Many traders watch for this pattern and jump on the bandwagon when it makes its move. If you are in position with both a put and a call, you will get a quick reward with one of the positions and you can liquidate the other. Then ride the trend, but don't get too greedy. Time decay works against you in this position.

When we buy a Strangle, the put and call that we purchase are out-of-the-money to decrease our investment and risk. We look for the triangle pattern with a tightening trading range, and initiate the position near the tip of the triangle, so that it is in place before the break-out. This is important because the options will be cheaper to buy before the break-out because volatility is low due to the tight trading range pattern. Since you are buying both a put and a call, you want to minimize the cost of the options. When the break-out occurs, volatility will spike up, driving up the price of the options. We generally allow three or more months before expiration, to provide enough time for the market to make its move, but we just stay in long enough to reach our target, because decay is working against us.

It is also important to cover risks and caveats of this strategy.

The risk of this position is limited and known. The cost of this position tends to be higher because you are buying both a put and a call, but by careful positioning as described above, you can minimize this cost. Remember that the commission you pay for this position will be higher because you are initiating two related option transactions. If the asset stays in the tight trading range and doesn't break-out sufficiently during the term of your position, you will lose money. Decay is working against you with this position, but that is ameliorated if you initiate the position close to, but before the break-out, and then quickly liquidate the option on the wrong side of the break-out.

It is important to analyze your expectations for the underlying asset and for the market before selecting your strategy.
如果市场波动足够大的话,的确是个好办法。
能不能比较一下 是买put 好呢, 还是买call 好
因为 可以买tna 的put or call
~心宽灵深爱永远~
回复 10# sunning

学习了

如果动作快点,上周五卖出TZA Jan 19 2013 15 call @$0.80,那么翻番的目标昨天就达到了。不过没什么好后悔的。下周还有机会。
Dec 26: Buy TZA Jan 19 2013  13 Put @ $0.34 // Jan 3:  sell TZA Jan 19 2013  13 Put @ $0.96
Dec 26: Buy TZA Jan 19 2013 15 call @ $0.53 // Jan 3: market value: $0.07
Jan 3: Buy TZA Jan 19 2013 13 call @ $0.27 // Jan 3: market value: $0.27
-----------------------------------------------------
Total Cost: $1.14 + fees // Jan 3: Realized: $0.96; in market: $0.34.
TZA Jan 19 2013 15 call is 0.08
you gained 182% in TZA put, lost 85% in TZA call so far

IF TZA goes as you bet, you won, but goes other way, your gain will be off and even ends negative.

Am I right?
~心宽灵深爱永远~
admire!!       !
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