Perfect Wave - 2012-1/2 (I) - 华人论坛丫丫的港湾小说股坛海外华人 yayabay.com 全球华人

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34^# 跳转到 »

发表于 2012-2-12 16:08 | 只看该作者

02/12/2012

Comments are welcome!

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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33^#

发表于 2012-2-4 22:45 | 只看该作者

02/04/2012

Comments are welcome!

P.S., I'll be out of town next whole week and won't be able to reply to any PM or comments.

1 评分人数

何鸿燊: 金钱 + 30 鲜花 + 20

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

32^#

发表于 2012-1-29 23:40 | 只看该作者

for gold, you're saying that the c wave might have ended. you have wave a from 1522-1662, b wave from 1662-1625, and c wave from 1625-1738.

however your c wave is only 113 pts long, compared to wave a's length of 140.

c waves are often longer than a waves, going upto 1.618 times wave a, so why do you think c wave will be truncated this time?

nim1984 - Good point! We don't know if wave-c has finished yet. That was just my guess because GCG12 is rolling over to GCJ12 now. Sometimes a reversal occurs around futures contracts' rollover dates.

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

dvork

版主

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性别: 女

鮮花大使论坛之星精华帖主

31^#

发表于 2012-1-29 01:40 | 只看该作者

We will be there from 02/06 to 02/10. Do you want to join us to ski a day or two?
snowrider 发表于 2012-1-27 14:03

今天去滑了，妖受的icy，难怪没几只猫

看看再来这礼拜会不会下雪，不然真难玩

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何鸿燊: 金钱 + 30 鲜花 + 12

棋王

状元

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优秀版主精华帖主人气之王一鸣惊人

30^#

发表于 2012-1-29 01:40 | 只看该作者

回调是个买.俺也瞎画了几张,结论和你一样.

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29^#

发表于 2012-1-29 00:11 | 只看该作者

01/28/2012

Comments are welcome!

1 评分人数

棋王: 金钱 + 30 鲜花 + 18

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

28^#

发表于 2012-1-27 15:03 | 只看该作者

暴风雪果然来了，六尺深的雪
dvork 发表于 2012-1-26 00:53

We will be there from 02/06 to 02/10. Do you want to join us to ski a day or two?

dvork

版主

Rank: 16

性别: 女

鮮花大使论坛之星精华帖主

27^#

发表于 2012-1-26 01:53 | 只看该作者

偶是很鬱悶
沒好雪可滑
去太浩湖的機票又不能退(要重罰)
只有祈禱盼望暴風雪在二月前能來
snowrider 发表于 2012-1-1 17:34

暴风雪果然来了，六尺深的雪

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26^#

发表于 2012-1-24 00:31 | 只看该作者

i agree with your projections on gold, but im not sure your wavecounts match mine. i like to keep it simple, so i only use waves 1-5 and then abc.
...

nim1984- Thanks for commenting and sharing your thought. Yes, I like your idea of keeping it simple. That is also one of the reasons that I don't agree RP's wave counts most of the time.

...
i think wave 5 of wave A was over at 1522, assuming 1920 was end of wave 3. right now we're in wave B which could go as high as 1760 area. then wave c will break to new lows...maybe mid 1300's?

then we'll have the last wave 5 which will take out the high of 1920, but dont have a projection for it.

note: i'm not an elliott wave junkie. i did this analysis in 10mins looking at monthly chart, just to get a feel for where we are right now in the cycle.

Your scenario is quite possible. In that case, this big ABC correction is in the same degee as that of 2008 one. For now, no matter whether we are in a big ABCDE or a big ABC, the medium long term's momentum is heading up.

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

25^#

发表于 2012-1-21 01:29 | 只看该作者

01/21/2012

Comments are welcome!

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何鸿燊: 遥祝雪骑兄新年大吉大利！事业进步，身体健 ...鲜花 + 18

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

24^#

发表于 2012-1-13 23:03 | 只看该作者

01/14/2012

Comments are welcome!

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

23^#

发表于 2012-1-10 11:10 | 只看该作者

本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-1-10 10:11 编辑

20120109 DJIA Worst Scenario
这和你上面的SP的图不大一样呢？

thirdwheel - 這當然不一樣這張是道瓊指數幾十年的對數座標有朋友問是否可以如何如何算波偶回答他可以並標示出那種算法的可能走法當然短期日線走法仍然照偶們原來的算法在運行所以一切是 under control

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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22^#

发表于 2012-1-9 21:23 | 只看该作者

20120109 DJIA Worst Scenario

Quote from jas_in_hbca:

Long term EW count question.

Could 1987 be a end of wave 1, (approx) 2000 end of wave 3,
2008 end of wave 5 ?

If so, then could 2009 bottom be wave A , 2011 top end of a 'B' ?
and where would a projected wave C end ?

Thanks !

jas_in_hbca - It could be. As I believe and mention many times that anything is possible.
With that scenario, we are going to enter a long term bear market soon.
That bear market could have 2.5 more years to go, and it's final destination of the bear movement will be after falling below 2009's low.

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

21^#

发表于 2012-1-8 02:00 | 只看该作者

01/08/2012

Comments are welcome!

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

20^#

发表于 2012-1-2 02:00 | 只看该作者

师弟一看要跌的帖总是显得很着急。。。。。。。
棋王发表于 2012-1-2 00:36

海娃好像很緊張