[闲谈] 周一还能大涨不？？？S&P downgrades US credit rating from AAA

seagal

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's on Friday downgraded the United States' credit rating first time in the history of the ratings.

The credit rating agency said that it is cutting the country's top AAA rating by one notch to AA-plus. The credit agency said that it is making the move because the deficit reduction plan passed by Congress on Tuesday did not go far enough to stabilize the country's debt situation.

A source familiar with the discussions said that the Obama administration feels the S&P's analysis contained "deep and fundamental flaws."

S&P said that in addition to the downgrade, it is issuing a negative outlook, meaning that there was a chance it will lower the rating further within the next two years. It said such a downgrade to AA would occur if the agency sees less reductions in spending than Congress and the administration have agreed to make, higher interest rates or new fiscal pressures during this period.

S&P first put the government on notice in April that a downgrade was possible unless Congress and the administration came up with a credible long-term deficit reduction plan and avoided a default on the country's debt.

After months of wrangling and negotiations with the administration, Congress passed this week a debt reduction package at the 11th-hour that averted a possible default.

In its statement, S&P said that it had changed its view "of the difficulties of bridging the gulf between the political parties" over a credible deficit reduction plan.

S&P said it was now "pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the administration to be able to leverage their agreement this week into a broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes the government's debt dynamics anytime soon."

st168

真不想混了啊？！

何鸿燊

回复 1# seagal


    Moody's 和FITCH都还是AAA， 所以冲击应该不大。

就是SP和FITCH也都降成AA+也一样，，sell on the rumor, buy on the news, who cares the rating when all the world is in a chaos.

他们在区分经容产品的时候都是这样划分的：equity products, treasury product, credit product,,,,

who really cares?????

Within 90 minutes of S&P’s decision, a joint release from US banking regulators declared that, despite the downgrade of US paper, there would be no change in the risk-weighting of treasury bills, bonds and notes or any paper guaranteed by the US government. In other words, banks do not have to post any additional capital against their Treasury positions.

seagal

who really cares?????

Within 90 minutes of S&’s decision, a joint release from US banking regul ...
大傻_ 发表于 2011-8-6 10:51

“新浪财经讯 美国东部时间8月5日晚间(北京时间8月6日早间)消息，国际评级机构标普将美国长期主权信用评级由“AAA”降至“AA+”，评级展望负面。这是美国历史上首次失去AAA信用评级。

标普指出，调降评级主要由于美国政府与国会达成的债务上限协议，缺少标普所预期的举措以维持中期债务稳定。同时，标普维持美国短期主权信用评级“A-1+”不变，评级展望负面。

实际上，美股市场周五午盘时便已传出标普将调降美国评级的消息，导致美股大幅下跌，道指一度下跌245点，纳指重挫3.5%。标普当时拒绝对传言做出评论，亦不针对美国信用评级发表任何新的言论。

据美国CNBC电视台报道，标普于下午1点半已通知美国政府就降级做好准备。随后据美国CNN电视台报道，由于美国政府认为标普在计算政府财政中存在问题，标普可能因为政府的反对而重新考虑对美国的评级。直至周五晚上近8时，标普才正式对外公布调降美国评级。

而在美国债务违约警报解除后，另外两大评级机构穆迪与惠誉均维持美国AAA信用主权评级，惟评级展望均为负面。其中穆迪指出，在四种情况下可能 调降美国信用评级，分别是未来一年美国财政政策自律性变差、2013年未采取进一步财政改革措施、经济增长前景严重恶化以及美国政府借贷成本较目前水平显 著上升。(颜茜 发自美国纽约)”

对这件事，我的解读是美国历史上第二个”安然“丑闻。明明是下午1点半就出了消息，可是散户投资者得不到任何消息。否则，昨天盘尾就应该是瀑布，谁都不会轻易抄底。然而，遗憾的是，从胡同到YYB，再到trader1688，抄底的呼声非常一致，我相信很多投资者昨天盘尾都抄底了。最后一个小时一反这个时期的常态，走的那么诡异，现在看来，这不是利用信息的不对称，故意坑散户吗？就像当年安然，一边鼓动散户买它的股票，内部高层却偷偷卖掉股票。。。

但愿周一真的如你所说，影响不会太大吧。。。只是我怀疑你们的想法。说个生活小常识，如果2008年5月12日，你在成都，经历了8级大地震，今天已经是5月22日，十天间每天经历大大小小的无数次余震，睡觉都不敢脱衣服，稍有响动，立马就往外跑。这时突然发生一个余震，尽管有中科院院士的安慰，影响不大的，有人会信，不再往外跑吗？这和现在的股市，散户的心理比较，实在太像了。。。

momowang

其实我周四cover 了空仓后text 街上的朋友，他埋怨我cover too early, 含糊地让我等周五，。 现在想来人家不能明讲，其实别有深意。

greenhand2009

啊，你有内线啊。。。。。。

其实我周四cover 了空仓后text 街上的朋友，他埋怨我cover too early, 含糊地让我等周五，。 现在想来人家不 ...
momowang 发表于 2011-8-6 12:21

pdz

含糊地让我等周五momowang 发表于 2011-8-6 11:21

没让等周一 ？看来周五是低了