...量在价先,,, 反过来,价格对量有什么影响? 比如上涨速度快或者价格高对后来的量怎么影响呢?价格高,有时不愿买,有时chase high (比如认为价值发现或者回归)。wave里面有些什么判断?
"价格对量" - Why do we want to worry about that? We care more about the price - buy low and sell high to make profit.
"上涨速度快" - It will be forming some price area with thin volume in that fast move. The fast move is the dot dot dot that links between accumulation and distribution areas.
"上涨速度快或者价格高对后来的量怎么影响呢" - After the price is lifted to their target area, the insider will start unloading their holdings. Then we will see a plateau start forming with huge volume first then decreaing volume (because of unloading).
"wave里面有些什么判断?" - Wave structures/behaviors/patterns/characteristics actually explain what stage the market might be in.
About the "range market", its wave structure could 333, 335, 3x3, 3x3x3, or even more complex combinations. In most case, a range market is a continuation consolidation in the existing market direction. It could be the wave-2,4,6,8,b.
是不是一般就到9波? ES 1min-chart 最牛的时候我就看到9波(其中5波上涨)。。量在7,9波时慢慢枯萎了?其它的比如和fib retracement的关系怎么样? nflx 大牛时不只9波吧?
》》黄金之类的是不是比大盘还难分析?
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Yep yep yep ... good observation! 9 waves, then 13 waves next.
I don't know about NFLX. Probably it had extensions over extensions again and again.
I love trading gold, but it's much harder than trading EUR and SP because gold's volume is much lower. Gold's slippage could be very big. I have had more than $5 slippages many times on stop orders, which I hate so much. My favorite ones are still EUR and SP.
Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠
Actually, yes, Elliott Wave does take volume into consideration. The following is an extract from Elliott Wave International:
"Elliott used volume as a tool for verifying wave counts and in projecting extensions. He recognized that in any bull market, volume has a natural tendency to expand and contract with the speed of price change. Late in a corrective phase, a decline in volume often indicates a decline in selling pressure. A low point in volume often coincides with a turning point in the market. ..."
That is a long section talking about volume. I watch volume when I trade. I don't put volume on the charts of my wave counts, in order not to confuse people.
Yes, good point!!! One way we use to predict if a wave-5 would have extension is checking the volume. If the wave-5 has equal or more volume than wave-3, then most likely it could have extension, which means a wave-6789 would happen next.