[技术分析] Start to build position.

silicon_beaver

Just did calculation
If SPX under lower BB 7 Days (or more 8 days, 9 days), the only case was 07/29/2011.
This time, I counted on SPX under lower BB 7 days (not real, since Jan 30th not)

Longed ES1751. XIV 26.4.
shorted UVXY101.
ES down -40 pts. hit ES1735.

cannot load a chart. But look into the SPY/SPX yourself.

silicon_beaver

Use XIV, did same calculation.
XIV low below lower BB 7 days, it never happened before. This is the 1st time.
Historically, when under lower BB 6 days. its next day all went green.

N=	Time & 1st day(above)	Next 1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th
6	1/24/2014	Red(sure)	??
6	12/21/2012	36.23	-3.05	7.10	-4.58	-4.74	3.87	11.10	-0.07	-1.37	1.66
6	8/3/2011	51.88	6.17	25.68	-11.73	1.13	-53.24	-17.12	0.29	38.53	15.25

silicon_beaver

Hmm? the table is colored (+ cells in green, - cells in red) on my PC. but here it's dis-colored.   

Link is here.
http://www.yayabay.com/blog/spac ... o=blog&id=28747

silicon_beaver

Will exit at a gain. Not for ST long.
DT time.

秋大师 INDU hit 200SMA.  SPX should also 200SMA 走一趟.   

silicon_beaver

Friday NFP,
before that, market market go range.
Friday will decide to break up (1850) or down (200SMA).

set UVXY exit 87. I know it's greedy today.

silicon_beaver

秋大师 INDU hit 200SMA.  SPX should also 200SMA  ...
silicon_beaver 发表于 2014-2-3 23:50

200SMA 咫尺之遥.

silicon_beaver

I am loading.
dsp 发表于 2014-2-5 09:08

    couldn't load more. I should say I am All-in.

I did upload charts this morning. the same link above.

silicon_beaver

btw, I called the chart pattern "check" sign. Another way to explain ND.

silicon_beaver

前进 达瓦里西

Historical pattern says three green days. Let' see.

silicon_beaver

胆小又卖了些
shi333 发表于 2014-2-6 09:03

    Typical DT pattern, should see 25 pts gain/swing. i.,e. ES1768 (小威 expects 1780)

silicon_beaver

Typical DT pattern, should see 25 pts gain/swing. i.,e. ES1768

Right on the money. intrday hi ES 1768.75.

Did DT my ES position. and XIV.

will buy back when pullback a little bit.

silicon_beaver

Closed positions this morning.

Trade Type: BUY_TO_COVER
Security Symbol: UVXY
Price: $74.638

Trade Type: BUY_TO_COVER
Security Symbol: TVIX
Price: $8.2367


Money is not money until it's in your pocket...   

silicon_beaver

牛哥牛哈！你什么时候Loading again?
ohyamama 发表于 2014-2-7 10:21

    Not this Friday,
because the ES capped between 1758-1786. i.e will be moving within this range.

silicon_beaver

--- its next days green three days.

yes, it made it. three green days.

Actually SPX and XIV marginal green.
VXX/XIV both green. Bear not gives up yet.

silicon_beaver

你也没仓位了，准备怎么办呢

CPCE three-point turn ready.
I will see the pullback chart to decide my entry.