[放炮] SPX could go to 1741 【老陈】

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发表于 2013-10-11 16:25 | 显示全部帖子

Should next Monday SPX go to 1716, (1620-1684-1700-1716-1780) would be possible.

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3^#

发表于 2013-10-14 17:15 | 显示全部帖子

本帖最后由 ychen222 于 2013-10-14 17:22 编辑

My best guess right now is that SPX would go directly to 1730, because of 1663-1690-1696.5-1703-1730 (1/3 and 2/3 positions are 1685 and 1708). Current chart strongly supports 1685/1690/1696.5/1703/1708. And we all know that 1729 was previous high.

However, the trouble is the starting point 1663, which is not 1646! This might imply that 10/10 gap would be filled after reaching 1730. Key would be 1703. Can bulls hold 1703 well?

Should 10/10 gap filled, would bulls be able to break 1690 again?

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发表于 2013-10-15 16:44 | 显示全部帖子

Quick rally to 1730 was bearish.
But consolidating between 168X and 1710 is bullish, especially testing 168x-1690 and holding it tomorrow, because it would support 1646-1687.6-1698-1708.4-1750, and bulls would have more change to win at 170x in later pullback.

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发表于 2013-10-16 15:18 | 显示全部帖子

已更新主贴：“中期牛的话, 看好1645->1800为第一波，回调1740，第二波1740->1900。
注意中期中位上界是1740，所以当前第一波中位上界按1740 算比较合理。
若再破1680 ，中期牛破产。”

Or perhaps 第一波1646-1705-1720-1735-1795

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发表于 2013-10-17 17:07 | 显示全部帖子

1740（也许1735）即是中期中线上界，同时又是当前可能的波段（1646-1800）中线上界，2个上界在此，想一次就一冲而过肯定不可能。

回调多少呢？1700+ 即是中期中线位置，又是当前波段（1646-1800）中线下界，反测一下合理。

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发表于 2013-10-18 07:15 | 显示全部帖子

老陈这把一买就piaji，一割就暴涨，说明了这个方法不照啊。。。
tfmegatron 发表于 2013-10-17 22:19

猜测你是看到我中期判错的情况下也能反手赚钱心理上接受不了吧？（其实中期牛现在还不算定论。）
也好，成你所愿，本贴到此结束，反正论坛也不是我开的。