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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
31# 跳转到 »
发表于 2012-5-10 10:03 | 只看该作者
Quote from ScalperJoe:

Ok, so if the March low of 1,340 holds then I agree with scenario 1 that the market would rally as a wave [V] for a retest of the highs.

If it doesn't, then one target for scenario 2 downtrend is the next fib level of the bigger 5 wave pattern, which happens to correspond very closely with the Wave 1 top of around 1,293.

Given that the 100day moving average and two large daily tails offer support on the SPX chart, it seems more likely that your scenario 1 will prevail.  These corrective wave patterns are quite tricky, and definitely have more headfakes than the clearer Wave 3 pattern.


ScalperJoe - Good point!  Yes, the 1340 is the wave-4 (the lower degree wave) where a corrective wave would stop.  Thanks for summerizing those two scenarios.  Today the market gaps up, we will need to see if the gap can hold or not.  If the gap holds and market goes higher, then probably the wave-[V] is underway.  If the market fails to move up, we need to be careful that it could be forming a wave-2 (corrective wave) in the scenario #2.

(More posts and charts on my blog.)
Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

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32#
发表于 2012-5-12 22:50 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-5-13 00:09 编辑

05/12/2012

Comments are welcome!







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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
33#
发表于 2012-5-20 14:51 | 只看该作者
05/20/2012

Comments are welcome!







Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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hq1888

Rank: 3Rank: 3
34#
发表于 2012-5-22 22:12 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 hq1888 于 2012-5-22 22:14 编辑

today u said wave3-4 have finished.   
how do you judge wave3-4 finish, by 30min macd crossing down?
could it be possible to have ABC,  i.e. 1st leg SPX 1295 to 1328, then down to 1315,  then tomorrow 2nd leg up to ~1340?  thanks!

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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
35#
发表于 2012-5-22 23:13 | 只看该作者
today u said wave3-4 have finished.   
how do you judge wave3-4 finish, by 30min macd crossing down?
could it be possible to have ABC,  i.e. 1st leg SPX 1295 to 1328, then down to 1315,  then tomorrow 2nd leg up to ~1340?  thanks!
hq1888 发表于 2012-5-22 22:12


hq1888 - Thanks for commenting.  No, I don't use any indicator.  Since the market has followed my purple line wave count the past two week (accurately to even each reversal day), I would rather believe that the market will continue following my purple line wave count until it says otherwise.  Yes, it could be the ABC scenario if today's day high is penetrated.  It could be anything.  Since the current preferred count works pretty well, I would like to take your idea as an alternative count.

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snowrider

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36#
发表于 2012-5-27 03:16 | 只看该作者
05/27/2012

Comments are welcome!







Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
37#
发表于 2012-5-29 22:56 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-5-29 23:00 编辑

(More on my blog) 應同學及粉絲們的要求 ... 謝謝大家捧場
Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

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38#
发表于 2012-6-3 02:50 | 只看该作者
06/03/2012

Comments are welcome!
(More on my blog)







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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
39#
发表于 2012-6-7 00:17 | 只看该作者
06/06/2012

SP update -

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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胡同儿串子

Rank: 1
40#
发表于 2012-6-7 13:01 | 只看该作者
06/06/2012

SP update -
snowrider 发表于 2012-6-7 00:17


拭目以待！谢谢！

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not4weak

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41#
发表于 2012-6-9 15:28 | 只看该作者
回复 39# snowrider
阿血雪，这个图很费解，
如果50%50%的话，怎末应用啊？

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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
42#
发表于 2012-6-10 13:33 | 只看该作者
06/10/2012

Comments are welcome!







Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
43#
发表于 2012-6-17 00:29 | 只看该作者
Wave Count







Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

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44#
发表于 2012-6-24 15:30 | 只看该作者






Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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snowrider

Rank: 8Rank: 8
45#
发表于 2012-6-27 22:41 | 只看该作者
Wave Count - SP Intraday

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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