Why buy bond now? In intermediate to long run, interest rate will only have one-way to go ---- up. Every bounce will be short-able.
何鸿燊 发表于 2011-2-10 21:18
“The S&P 500 was able to break above both moving average bands in late 2010, which was a major milestone for the bulls. Should the market experience a correction of 7% to 8%, the intersection of the two moving average bands near 1,200 will offer a very difficult barricade for the bear to penetrate, especially on the first attempt.”
“A good rule of thumb in the markets is if anyone tells you they know what is going to happen, stop listening or stop reading. If the speaker or analysis uses terms like odds, probabilities, and possible outcomes, review their arguments with an open mind and make your own call.”
“The Chinese stock market has been leading the S&P 500 for years. It bottomed a full four months before the S&P 500 (November 2008 vs. March 2009) during Round 1 of the Financial Crisis.”
“Decline in Treasury Yield Ratio Suggests Continuing U.S. Stock Bull-Market”
“Breakout of Cup-with-Handle Pattern Suggests Further Upside for S&P500”
“ The market then broke out the upside of the cup-with-handle pattern in the early part of last December and has an upside price target projected at 1440.”
“Last Friday, 2/11/2011, the ratio broke out to the upside from the upper boundary of the triangle which indicates that the U.S. stock market is gaining strength as the international markets decline driven by inflation concerns especially in the emerging markets like India, China, and Brazil. Tightening monetary policies to fight inflation in those countries could add pressure on their stock markets and other emerging markets could also continue underperforming. It is also a bullish sign for the U.S. dollar because the strength ratio is a leading indicator for the U.S. dollar index.”
"As you can see, the US Dollar has dropped AGAIN and is on its way to test its multi-year trendline. We are literally approaching the "bounce or die" moment for this currency. If the US Dollar breaks below this line it's GAME OVER for the currency. We will be seeing an inflationary collapse followed by potential hyperinflation.
The one thing which could potentially reverse this situation right now is the political elections in Europe.
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发表于 2011-2-10 14:14
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发表于 2011-2-25 16:47
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